The Crystal Ball
I have a feeling this is going to be a good year. Now, that might be simply because I'm (as someone who reviewed one of my books once said) a "relentless optimist." But it might also be true.
I suspect that the economic upheavals over the past 18 months could actually provide – are actually providing - all kinds of impetus for new growth, fresh thinking, alternative pathways to success.
It's like a forest fire. It's a scary, awful thing when it's happening: animals die, people lose their homes. In fact, though, forest fires are necessary – beneficial in the long-term. Here's a paragraph from an article I found on the science buzz blog:
"Even as the fires were crackling through the branches of pines, birch and spruce, the start of new tree growth was already popping. The heat from the burning trees pops open the cones on those trees, releasing seeds that have been waiting to get loose for years. Millions of those seeds were dumped on the forest floor and within less than a month, some of them germinate, pop through the soil and start growing into little seedlings…In fact, fire is a natural part of the forest’s regeneration system. Most forest trees need to be exposed to fire every 50 to 100 years to invigorate new growth."
Don't get me wrong – this has been dreadful, and I know a lot of people are still feeling the effects (I have a beautiful house in Kingston, New York that I've been trying to sell since 2008 – interested?). I just think that the destruction of some outmoded assumptions and ways of operating might clear the way for more thoughtful, balanced approaches, and for companies that have something new and useful to bring to the party.
What do you think?